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GE Aerospace Beats Q3 Estimates and Raises 2026 EPS Outlook to $8–$8.10

GE Aerospace reports $2.25 in adjusted EPS and $13.29 billion in adjusted revenue, beating estimates and lifting its 2026 profit forecast as services grow.

By Daniel Wright Edited by Michael Foster Published:
GE Aerospace Beats Q3 Estimates and Raises 2026 EPS Outlook to $8–$8.10
A GE Aerospace GEnx engine on a Boeing 787 illustrates the aircraft-engine business behind stronger third-quarter earnings and a higher 2026 profit forecast. Photo: GE Aerospace

Key Notes

  • GE Aerospace reports adjusted third-quarter EPS of $2.25 and adjusted revenue of $13.29 billion, exceeding estimates on both measures.
  • The company raises full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $8.00–$8.10 from $7.65–$7.85, alongside higher operating-profit and cash-flow forecasts.
  • Commercial engine services support the growth outlook, although quarterly free cash flow falls 14% to about $2.04 billion.

GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.25 a share and raised its 2026 profit outlook, giving shareholders stronger earnings expectations as demand for aircraft-engine services and equipment continued to expand.

Adjusted EPS exceeded the $2.01 analyst estimate, while adjusted revenue of $13.29 billion topped the $12.86 billion estimate. The company now expects full-year adjusted EPS of $8.00–$8.10, compared with its previous range of $7.65–$7.85.

The October 20 results also showed a less favorable cash-flow comparison. Quarterly free cash flow declined even as earnings improved, making cash conversion and delivery execution important checks on the stronger outlook.

Adjusted Earnings Beat the Forecast

The headline results for the quarter ended September 30 were:

  • Adjusted EPS of $2.25, compared with the $2.01 estimate and $1.66 a year earlier.
  • Adjusted revenue of $13.285 billion, rounded to $13.29 billion, compared with the $12.86 billion estimate.
  • GAAP earnings from continuing operations of $2.32 a share, up from $2.04 a year earlier.

The adjusted EPS beat was $0.24 a share, or approximately 12%. Adjusted revenue exceeded the estimate by about $425 million, roughly 3.3%, using the unrounded reported result.

The accounting basis matters. GE reported $14.118 billion in total GAAP revenue; its adjusted measure excludes $833 million from run-off insurance operations. Investors comparing the release with consensus should therefore match adjusted revenue with adjusted revenue, rather than treating the larger GAAP figure as the same measure.

Likewise, the $2.32 continuing-operations figure and $2.25 adjusted EPS reflect different definitions. The company provides reconciliations explaining the exclusions instead of presenting the two numbers as interchangeable.

Full-Year Guidance Moves Higher

The new adjusted EPS range has a midpoint of $8.05, compared with $7.75 previously, an increase of approximately 3.9%. Even the lower end of the revised range is above the former upper end.

GE’s earnings presentation also raises expected adjusted revenue growth to approximately 19%–20%, from a prior forecast of growth in the high teens. Operating profit is now projected at $10.9 billion–$11.0 billion, compared with $10.55 billion–$10.75 billion.

Full-year free cash flow guidance increases to $9.1 billion–$9.4 billion from $8.9 billion–$9.2 billion. These remain management forecasts for the full year, rather than cash already generated or a promise about the stock’s performance.

For GE shareholders, the guidance change broadens the earnings story beyond a single quarterly beat. The next test is whether fourth-quarter operations deliver the profit and cash needed to meet those higher ranges.

Commercial Services Support the Growth Case

Commercial Engines & Services revenue rose 21% to $10.342 billion. The presentation shows services revenue up 17%, with spare-parts revenue increasing more than 20%, while equipment revenue rose 38%.

The business generated $2.887 billion in operating profit, also up 21%. Its margin slipped slightly to 27.9% from 28.0%, illustrating that strong revenue growth can coexist with pressure from the mix of work and inflation.

Chief Executive Larry Culp said the commercial-services backlog exceeds $170 billion and supports an expectation for low-double-digit services growth in 2027. A backlog provides visibility into future work, but revenue and profit still depend on delivering that work over time.

Engine maintenance creates recurring demand as airlines keep aircraft in service. Shop capacity, parts availability and turnaround times determine how quickly that demand becomes recognized revenue and cash, making operational execution central to the investment case.

Defense & Propulsion Technologies added $3.469 billion in quarterly revenue, up 7%, and $475 million in operating profit. Its slower growth provides a useful contrast with the larger commercial operation rather than a uniform picture across both segments.

Cash Flow Gives Investors a Separate Test

Free cash flow was $2.042 billion in the quarter, down 14% from $2.362 billion a year earlier. Cash from operating activities also fell 14%, to $2.203 billion.

The nine-month picture was stronger. GE’s quarterly filing reports approximately $7.33 billion in operating cash flow through September, compared with $6.45 billion a year earlier. Nine-month free cash flow rose to approximately $6.73 billion from $5.93 billion.

The filing describes higher working-capital cash use partly offsetting the benefit from earnings and other operating factors over the nine-month period. That period should not be confused with the third quarter alone.

Cash collection, supplier payments and customer advances can move differently from reported profit. Reading both measures helps assess how much operating improvement is available to fund investment, acquisitions and shareholder returns.

Capacity Investment Shapes the Next Stage

GE’s proposed CPP acquisition shows how it plans to address manufacturing constraints. The $11.75 billion transaction targets additional capacity for precision castings used in commercial engines, aftermarket work and defense.

The September agreement envisages $7 billion in cash funding, with the balance financed through new debt. Closing is expected in the second half of 2027, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary conditions. The acquisition has therefore not yet become a completed expansion of GE’s production base.

As we previously reported, the wider earnings season has begun with a high proportion of EPS beats, but less consistent revenue surprises. GE’s report adds both sales upside and a higher outlook, alongside a weaker quarterly cash-flow comparison.

Readers can track upcoming reports through our earnings calendar. For GE, the most useful follow-through will be evidence that stronger services demand and higher output translate into the upgraded earnings and cash-flow targets.

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