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Amazon and Intel Stocks Slide as AI Spending Tests Cash Flow

Amazon and Intel slide in premarket trading as Amazon’s $220 billion spending plan and Intel’s weak Q4 outlook intensify scrutiny of AI returns.

By Daniel Wright Edited by Michael Foster Published:
Amazon and Intel Stocks Slide as AI Spending Tests Cash Flow
Amazon and Intel shares fall as investors weigh heavy AI infrastructure spending, cloud growth and weaker guidance against the cash generated by their businesses. Server equipment illustrates the infrastructure investment cycle. Photo: Panumas Nikhomkhai / Pexels

Key Notes

  • Amazon fell about 5.8% and Intel 25.6% in premarket snapshots as earnings and guidance added to pressure on technology shares.
  • Amazon retained its $220 billion 2026 cash capital-spending plan and reported negative $42.4 billion free cash flow for the trailing 12 months.
  • Intel’s weak fourth-quarter forecast overshadowed an adjusted earnings beat, while cash-flow differences across Big Tech sharpened scrutiny of AI returns.

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) fell sharply in premarket trading on October 30, adding to pressure on technology stocks as investors weighed the cash demands of artificial intelligence against disappointing earnings and guidance.

Amazon traded at $229.65, down 5.80%, while Intel was at $68.46, down 25.64%, in Yahoo Finance snapshots at 11:02 UTC. The Intel quote was marked as delayed. These were premarket readings, before the regular US session, rather than closing prices.

The two companies disappointed investors for different reasons. Amazon’s cloud business accelerated, but heavy investment pushed its trailing annual free cash flow deeply negative. Intel’s latest quarter showed strong data-center growth, yet its fourth-quarter outlook fell well below expectations.

Amazon’s $220 Billion Investment Plan Tests Patience

Amazon reported third-quarter sales of $201.9 billion and diluted earnings of $1.89 a share. Both missed the LSEG estimates cited by CNBC: $202.31 billion in revenue and $1.96 a share.

The larger concern was the amount of cash being committed to infrastructure. Amazon retained its forecast for approximately $220 billion in cash capital expenditures during 2026, leaving the scale of its investment program unchanged despite mounting scrutiny of AI returns.

Free cash flow was negative $42.4 billion for the trailing 12 months ended September 30, compared with positive $14.8 billion a year earlier. Amazon attributed the deterioration primarily to a $94.8 billion year-over-year increase in purchases of property and equipment, net of sales proceeds and incentives, largely reflecting AI investment.

That $42.4 billion figure covers a full rolling year. It is not a loss incurred solely in the third quarter, and it is not the same as an accounting net loss. Amazon generated $168.3 billion in operating cash flow over those 12 months, up 29%, but infrastructure spending absorbed more cash than operations supplied.

AWS Growth Complicates the Bearish Reading

Amazon Web Services revenue rose 39.3% to about $46 billion, its fastest growth in nearly five years. AWS operating income reached $17.8 billion, compared with $11.4 billion a year earlier. Those figures show substantial demand alongside the spending burden.

Across Amazon, operating income increased to $28.1 billion from $17.4 billion, producing a record 13.9% operating margin. Net income nevertheless slipped to $20.7 billion from $21.2 billion, with the prior-year comparison boosted by $9.5 billion in pretax gains on Anthropic investments.

For the holiday quarter, Amazon forecast sales of $240 billion to $247 billion. The $243.5 billion midpoint was below the $244.5 billion LSEG estimate cited in CNBC’s earnings coverage.

Chief Executive Andy Jassy projected AWS revenue growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. That is management’s expectation, rather than booked future revenue. For shareholders, the question is how quickly continued cloud expansion can turn today’s infrastructure commitments into stronger free cash flow.

Intel’s Outlook Overshadows Its Earnings Beat

Intel’s results showed third-quarter revenue of $16.5 billion, up 21%, and adjusted earnings of $0.52 a share. As we reported earlier, the adjusted profit exceeded expectations; the sharp selloff centered on the outlook.

The chipmaker guided fourth-quarter revenue to $15 billion–$16 billion and adjusted EPS to $0.25. Those figures compared with analyst expectations of approximately $17.08 billion and $0.44, respectively. Its forecast adjusted gross margin of 38% was also below the third quarter’s 44.1%.

The underlying business was divided. Data Center and AI revenue climbed 78% to $7.3 billion, while client-computing revenue fell 5% to $8.1 billion. Intel expects weakness in the PC market to persist through the first half of 2027.

Intel therefore presents a different challenge from Amazon: strong demand in one segment has not prevented a weaker near-term company outlook. Treating both declines as evidence of collapsing AI demand would overlook that distinction.

Microsoft and Alphabet Show the Cash-Flow Divide

Earlier reports from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) help explain why cash generation has become a central comparison across the sector.

Microsoft generated $58 billion in operating cash during its September quarter and spent $39.367 billion on property and equipment, leaving approximately $18.6 billion in free cash flow. Its Azure growth and spending plans were detailed in our previous report.

Alphabet generated $42.29 billion in operating cash but spent $51.355 billion on property and equipment, producing negative quarterly free cash flow of about $9.1 billion, as we previously reported. Its trailing 12-month free cash flow remained positive at roughly $19.75 billion.

Those quarterly figures should not be compared directly with Amazon’s negative $42.4 billion trailing annual figure. The reporting periods and companies’ capital-spending definitions matter when judging how much investment their operations can support.

Investors Look Beyond Revenue Growth

The pressure extended beyond the two earnings releases. Nvidia, Micron and Arm also traded lower in premarket dealings, while ASML fell in Europe, CNBC reported.

The earnings season is increasingly testing whether rapid AI-related sales growth can coexist with sustainable cash generation. Amazon’s expanding AWS business and Intel’s data-center gains demonstrate demand, but neither removes the risks attached to spending commitments, margins or weaker businesses elsewhere.

For AMZN and INTC shareholders, subsequent guidance and cash-flow statements will be as important as headline revenue. Friday’s premarket reaction shows the cost of missing expectations; it does not establish the eventual return on investments that will take years to mature.

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