Polymarket traders put the chance of an announced resignation or removal of Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang by year-end at 75.5% in a November 12 snapshot taken at 11:36 UTC. The Yes midpoint sat between a 75-cent bid and 76-cent ask as leadership speculation continued.
Combined trading across the event’s departure-date contracts reached about $19.85 million, including $5.13 million in the December 31, 2026 contract. The year-end contract’s one-minute price history recorded 93 cents at 02:11 UTC overnight, showing how sharply trader expectations have fluctuated.
The Wall Street Journal reported on November 11 that Nvidia’s board was preparing to remove Huang. He acknowledged infidelity on November 8, while directors opened an inquiry into reports of foreign intelligence targeting him. That statement said the board had no reason to believe Nvidia secrets or national security had been compromised.
In the separate successor market, CUDA inventor Ian Buck and CFO Colette Kress were both near 24%, while Huang’s daughter Madison Huang, a physical AI marketing executive, was near 2%. This market runs through December 31, 2028 and excludes interim CEOs; the names are betting outcomes, not an official shortlist.
The year-end departure contract requires a definitive announcement by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. Eastern time, with the exit effective within 18 months. Shares were earlier down 6.3% at 09:34 UTC, as documented in our premarket brief. Neither market prices nor succession speculation establish a completed CEO change.
