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Paper Social Security Checks Ending September 30 as Payments Go Digital
The U.S. government will phase out nearly all paper Social Security payments by September 30, 2025, requiring recipients to switch to direct deposit or prepaid debit cards.
Starting September 30, 2025, nearly all Social Security payments will be issued electronically, as the U.S. government phases out most paper checks. The change affects those still receiving benefits by paper method, who must transition to alternative payment systems.
Less than 1% of current Social Security recipients still use paper checks. The Social Security Administration is alerting those beneficiaries and encouraging them to enroll in direct deposit or use a prepaid debit option known as the Direct Express card.
What Recipients Need to Do
Beneficiaries who currently receive checks must act before the end of the month to avoid disruptions. Most can update payment preferences via their existing Social Security account portal. Those without a bank account can opt for the Direct Express prepaid card alternative.
The SSA also allows exemptions in limited circumstances, such as when banking access is unavailable or due to severe hardship. In those cases, paper checks may still be issued, but only under strict criteria.
Impacts, Risks and Rationale
The move is part of a broader effort to modernize government payments, reduce administrative costs, and minimize risks associated with mailing checks – including theft, loss, or delay. Electronic payments are faster and more efficient to process.
Still, the transition carries potential pitfalls. Some vulnerable beneficiaries- particularly older adults, rural residents, and people without banking history- may struggle with the shift. If they miss the window to enroll, they risk late or missed payments.
Advocacy groups have pushed for thorough outreach and support during the changeover to ensure no one loses access to essential benefits. The SSA says it is proactively contacting paper check recipients via mail and notices enclosed with benefit payments.
As more federal disbursements shift to digital, the phase-out of paper checks could mark a significant shift in how the U.S. delivers public benefits.
Trump’s SALT Deduction Cap Increase Delivers Uneven Benefits Across States
President Trump’s new tax measure raises the SALT deduction cap to $40,000, with residents in states like New York and California seeing the biggest median savings.
President Trump has signed into law an increase in the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap, lifting it from $10,000 to $40,000 for many taxpayers. The measure is aimed at easing the burden for households in high-tax states while phasing out benefits for top earners above $500,000 in income.
The policy change gives new relief to millions of itemizers. But according to a Redfin analysis, the benefit varies sharply by state, underscoring how unevenly the expanded deduction will play out across the country.
Where the Biggest and Smallest Savings Are
Itemizers in certain states could see a far greater windfall from the higher cap. Redfin’s data shows the five states with the largest median savings from the new law are New York at about $7,092; California at $3,995; New Jersey at $3,897; Massachusetts at $3,835; and Connecticut at $3,133.
By contrast, some states will see only modest gains. The smallest median savings are expected in South Dakota at $1,033; Alaska at $1,052; Nevada at $1,090; Tennessee at $1,097; and New Hampshire at $1,101. This disparity reflects differences in property taxes, state income taxes and how many residents itemize deductions.
Tax experts note the new cap is still subject to income thresholds, meaning many higher-earning households won’t capture the full benefit. Phaseouts begin at $500,000 and can drop back toward the old cap at $600,000 and above.
Political Context and Economic Impact
The uneven pattern of savings highlights the political dimension of the change. Republicans from high-tax states have long pressed to raise the SALT cap, arguing their constituents were unfairly penalized. By delivering a larger deduction in places like New York and California, Trump may gain goodwill in areas traditionally skeptical of his tax policies.
Critics, however, argue that raising the cap disproportionately helps wealthier homeowners and could incentivize states to raise taxes. They also warn of a hit to federal revenue.
For now, the law gives itemizers in high-tax states a substantial new write-off. How much that affects housing markets, migration trends and state budgets will become clearer as taxpayers adjust to the new rules.
Huawei Unveils Three-Year Plan to Challenge Nvidia in AI Chips
Huawei has detailed a three-year campaign aimed at narrowing the technological gap with Nvidia, relying on scale, national strategy and integrated infrastructure rather than raw silicon supremacy.
Huawei Technologies Co. has announced an ambitious three-year strategy to close the gap with Nvidia in the fast-growing market for artificial intelligence chips. Rotating Chairman Eric Xu told attendees at Huawei Connect 2025 that the company will leverage its manufacturing scale, telecom infrastructure and government ties to accelerate progress.
The plan comes as China prioritizes self-reliance in semiconductors amid U.S. export controls. Huawei already produces AI chips under its Ascend brand but acknowledges they lag Nvidia’s in raw performance. By 2027, the firm aims to match or exceed Nvidia in real-world deployment across cloud, telecom and industrial applications.
Pivoting From Chip Power to System Scale
Rather than chasing Nvidia’s every technical advance, Huawei is emphasizing a system-wide approach. Executives say the company will integrate chips, networks and cloud services to offset performance deficits with scale, coordination and tailored architectures.
That strategy includes increasing wafer capacity, optimizing supply chains and embedding custom AI chips into Huawei’s vast telecom and enterprise platforms. By pairing hardware with its own infrastructure, Huawei expects to improve efficiency and lock in demand internally. It is also exploring heterogenous computing — mixing different processing units for specialized tasks — to achieve results that rival or surpass general-purpose chips.
Analysts view the approach as a pragmatic way to accelerate adoption even if Huawei’s chips remain behind on benchmarks. It also signals to policymakers that the company is aligning with national tech goals, potentially unlocking continued subsidies and favorable procurement.
Raising the Stakes in the Global AI Chip Race
Huawei’s timetable raises the stakes in an already intense competition. Nvidia, AMD and Intel are all racing to develop next-generation silicon, while startups such as Graphcore and Cerebras push niche AI accelerators. Catching Nvidia will require flawless execution, high yields and cost discipline.
Geopolitical risks add another layer. Export controls, sanctions and supply-chain disruptions could derail Huawei’s progress. At the same time, the company’s global footprint in telecom gives it a built-in customer base that few rivals can match.
For the broader AI ecosystem, Huawei’s plan shows how the battle for leadership is shifting from pure chip performance to full-stack integration. As previously covered, Microsoft, Google and other tech giants are investing heavily in AI infrastructure worldwide, underscoring how hardware, software and scale are converging into a single competitive front.
New York to Send Inflation Refunds to 8 Million+ Residents This Fall
The New York Department of Taxation and Finance will send refund checks to over 8 million residents starting late September, with exact amounts based on 2023 income and filing status.
The New York Department of Taxation and Finance has committed to mailing inflation refund checks to over 8 million New Yorkers starting at the end of September. The initiative was first announced by Governor Kathy Hochul in May as a one-time payment meant to ease the impact of higher sales taxes due to inflation.
How much each person receives will depend on their 2023 adjusted gross income (AGI) and tax filing status. Those with lower incomes will get larger refunds per dollar of tax paid. Higher-income filers will still qualify under certain thresholds, but their benefit will taper.
Who Qualifies and How Much They Get
To receive a check, taxpayers must have filed a Form IT-201 as full-year residents in 2023 and not have been claimed as a dependent. The mailing is automatic — no application is required.
Refund levels vary by bracket and filing status. Single filers with lower AGIs will receive one amount; those married filing jointly will receive a higher threshold. Those in upper income tiers may see reduced benefits or none at all, based on the cutoff. The range spans from modest payments for lower earners to more substantial checks for joint filers with qualifying income.
Officials say the refunds will be sent over several weeks, with no mail order based on ZIP code or region. That means some recipients may see their checks before neighbors even in the same county.
Why This Matters and What to Watch
This inflation refund is among the most sweeping in New York’s recent tax history. For many households, even a few hundred dollars could meaningfully offset rising costs in energy, groceries or housing. For lower-income and middle-class New Yorkers, the extra cash may provide short-term relief.
Yet the success of the program hinges on equitable distribution and effective delivery. Those who moved but didn’t update addresses may miss the mailing. Also, variation in payment timing may frustrate recipients waiting through October and November.
As previously covered, state-level inflation relief efforts are becoming more common across the U.S. — but few match the scale New York is attempting. For now, residents should watch their mailboxes and double-check their 2023 return status to confirm eligibility.
Fed Cuts Rates by 0.25%, Signals Two More Reductions Amid Labor Market Concerns
The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark rate by 0.25% to 4.00%–4.25%, its first step in a projected series of cuts as job growth slows and inflation stays high.
The Federal Reserve approved a widely expected 0.25% rate cut at its September meeting, lowering the federal funds target range to 4.00%–4.25%. It was the central bank’s first step in what most policymakers see as a series of reductions before year-end.
The decision, backed by an 11-to-1 vote, was less contentious than anticipated. Newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran dissented, favoring a larger half-point cut, while Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller joined the majority for the quarter-point move.
Officials noted in their statement that economic activity has “moderated,” job gains have slowed and inflation “remains somewhat elevated.” The language underscored a shift in focus from fighting inflation to managing downside risks to employment.
Why the 0.25% Cut Matters
Chair Jerome Powell characterized the quarter-point reduction as “risk management,” saying the labor market is softening on both the supply and demand sides. He emphasized the move places monetary policy in a “more neutral” position, giving the Fed flexibility for future decisions.
The Fed’s dot plot showed a majority of participants expect two additional cuts this year, likely in October and December. One official projected as much as 1.25 percentage points in further reductions, but others prefer a slower pace.
Market Response and Political Backdrop
Financial markets reacted with mixed moves after the announcement. Stocks fluctuated as investors weighed the benefits of lower borrowing costs against concerns about the economy. Treasury yields slipped on shorter-term securities but edged up on longer maturities.
The rate cut followed months of public pressure from President Donald Trump, who has urged deeper reductions to support housing and lower government financing costs. Miran, a Trump appointee, has argued for even faster easing.
For households and businesses, the 0.25% cut offers immediate though modest relief on variable-rate debt. It also signals that the Fed now sees risks tilting more toward jobs than inflation. Investors will closely watch upcoming employment and price data to see if the Fed follows through with its projected easing path.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Disappointed as China Bans Its AI Chips
China has ordered major tech firms to stop buying Nvidia’s RTX Pro 6000D chips, prompting CEO Jensen Huang to express disappointment and highlight growing geopolitical risk.
China’s Cyberspace Administration has reportedly instructed major domestic tech firms – including ByteDance and Alibaba – to stop purchasing Nvidia’s RTX Pro 6000D chip and to cancel existing orders. The move sharply escalates Beijing’s effort to limit dependence on U.S. AI hardware.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang confirmed he was “disappointed” by the action, saying developers and regulators alike have complex agendas between China and the United States. He added that Nvidia can only “be in service of a market if the country wants us to be.”
Huang noted that over recent years Nvidia has guided analysts to exclude China from its financial forecasts due to export restrictions and regulatory uncertainty. The RTX Pro 6000D had been introduced under the assumption of a more stable China market, but the regulatory environment remains volatile.
Why This Ban Matters
The directive marks a sharper crackdown than earlier restrictions focused primarily on Nvidia’s H20 chip. The RTX Pro 6000D was designed specifically for China, reflecting earlier relaxation of export rules—but demand was reportedly lukewarm even before the ban.
China appears confident that its domestic chip makers have matured enough to offer competitive alternatives. Regulators have accused Nvidia of antitrust violations, particularly regarding its acquisition of Mellanox Technologies. The ban increases pressure on Nvidia to adjust strategy in one of its largest potential markets.
Impacts for Nvidia and Broader AI Ecosystem
Nvidia’s stock slipped slightly on news of the restriction. Investors are weighing how much revenue China accounts for, and how harder it will be to compete in markets dependent on export permissions.
For China, the move reinforces ongoing efforts to reduce reliance on U.S. AI hardware and promote homegrown technologies. Companies like Huawei, Cambricon, Baidu, and others are increasingly in the spotlight.
Regardless of these tensions, Nvidia remains active elsewhere. Huang just announced Nvidia’s participation in the U.K. AI infrastructure push one of several U.S. tech firms pledging multibillion-dollar investment in the UK market. As previously covered, Microsoft, Google and other tech giants have already committed £31B ($40B) to UK AI infrastructure.
Average U.S. FICO Credit Score Drops for Second Year in a Row
The average U.S. FICO score slipped from 717 to 715 over the past year, marking its largest annual drop since the financial crisis, as more borrowers miss payments and student-loan delinquencies rise.
The average U.S. FICO credit score has declined from 717 to 715 over the past year, marking its second straight annual drop, according to a new report. The two-point fall is the steepest annual decline observed since the Great Recession, highlighting a worsening trend in consumer credit health.
Credit analysts point to rising credit utilization and an uptick in delinquent accounts – particularly among student loans – as chief culprits. As federal relief programs have ended, previously paused debts are starting to weigh on borrowers’ credit profiles again.
Key Drivers Behind the Drop
Consumers are increasingly carrying higher balances on credit cards, pushing utilization rates upward. Since credit utilization is a major component of score calculations, using more of your available credit tends to erode scores even if payments remain timely.
Meanwhile, the return of student loan reporting has exposed many borrowers to delinquency records that were previously shielded. Young adults, especially those in Generation Z, have been hit hardest, as many face income constraints while resuming payments.
Lenders and credit agencies are also seeing more late payments across auto, personal, and medical loans. Even as mortgage delinquencies remain low, rising trouble in other loan categories is introducing drag on average scores.
What This Means for Borrowers and Markets
For many consumers, a small drop in score may not change loan eligibility, but it can affect interest rates or credit offers—especially for those already on the margin. Some borrowers may find credit harder or more expensive to access.
The worsening credit landscape looms as a warning for lenders and policymakers. If the trend accelerates, it may signal broader stress in household finances. Observers will watch upcoming job and income data to see if defaults continue rising.
As previously covered, the decline in credit scores reflects broader financial strain among consumers, particularly in a higher interest-rate environment and with the resumption of federal student loan collections.
Microsoft, Google and Other Tech Giants to Pledge Over $40 Billion in UK AI Investments
Major U.S. tech firms including Microsoft, Nvidia, Google and OpenAI have committed approximately £31 billion (about $40 billion) toward UK AI infrastructure, signaling a major boost to the country’s computing and innovation potential.
U.S. tech giants have signaled plans to invest roughly £31 billion (about $40 billion) in the UK’s artificial intelligence and computing infrastructure in the coming years. The wave includes pact commitments for new data centres, AI supercomputing projects, and expansion of cloud capacity, timed with high-level diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and UK.
Microsoft is leading the spend, with its largest UK commitment to date, earmarking funds for both AI compute infrastructure and support for local operations. Nvidia, Google, OpenAI, CoreWeave and other firms are also on board, planning chip deployments, partnerships with UK-based cloud providers, and investment in growth-zones in regions like the Northeast.
What’s in the Pipeline
A flagship initiative under the announcements is “Stargate UK,” a project involving Nvidia, OpenAI, and Nscale aiming to build sovereign compute capacity via a supercomputer and tens of thousands of GPUs. Microsoft is partnering with Nscale for massive upgrades in cloud and data-centre infrastructure.
Another focus is the creation of new AI Growth Zones, which will benefit from favorable planning permissions, power infrastructure improvements and incentives to attract investment. Regions such as Blyth and Cobalt Park are named as early nodes, with plans for infrastructure build-out and job creation in tech, facilities, and construction.
Why This Matters and What Risks Remain
The investments could shift the UK’s positioning in AI from simply an adopter to a maker, enhancing its capacity for AI model training, innovation and cloud framework independence. Investors and local firms could benefit substantially, especially companies in the backend supply chain—data centres, chip fabricators, energy providers and cooling infrastructure.
Yet risks are nontrivial. Scaling up so many large-scale AI, cloud and compute projects depends heavily on planning approvals, energy supply (including clean energy), environmental impact, and workforce skills. Cost inflation and delays are possible. How quickly these high-cost commitments convert into working, competitive infrastructure will likely determine their ultimate impact.
Citigroup Predicts Ether Will Slide to $4,300 by Year-End in Base Case
Citigroup forecasts Ether could fall to about $4,300 by the end of 2025 under its base scenario, warning current price levels may be supported more by sentiment than fundamentals.
Citigroup’s analysts estimate that Ether’s price will end the year around $4,300 in their base case forecast. They also outline a bullish scenario where Ether could rise to $6,400 and a bearish scenario where it falls to about $2,200.
The bank cautions that much of Ether’s recent strength may reflect investor enthusiasm rather than underlying usage metrics. A large share of growth has come from Layer-2 blockchains built atop Ethereum, but Citigroup assumes only about 30 percent of that activity passes through to the main Ethereum base layer.
Key Drivers of the Forecast
Network activity remains a crucial factor in Citi’s model. The bank points to increasing demand from applications like stablecoins and tokenization, which can drive usage fees and staking revenue. However, they believe that Ether’s current price exceeds what the base-layer activity would justify.
ETF flows are also part of the equation. While flows into Ether-based ETFs have been less than those into Bitcoin, Citi notes that they have an outsized impact per dollar on price moves. But such inflows are expected to remain relatively modest given Ether’s lower visibility with new investors and smaller market cap.
Risks and Scenarios to Watch
In a bullish scenario, further gains could come from stronger adoption, increasing transaction fees, and more robust usage of tokenization and stablecoin activity. Conversely, the bear case depends on macroeconomic headwinds, weakening equity markets, and slower-than-expected growth in Ethereum’s core activity levels.
Another risk is that the price could face correction if technical support levels fail. Investors will be watching metrics like base-layer transaction volume, staking yields, and fees. If market sentiment cools, those stronger supports may come into focus.
Standard Chartered’s SC Ventures to Raise $250 Million Digital Asset Fund for 2026
Standard Chartered’s innovation arm, SC Ventures, is planning a $250 million digital assets fund launching in 2026, with some backing expected from Middle Eastern investors.
Standard Chartered’s innovation and venture building unit, SC Ventures, is preparing to raise about $250 million for a new digital asset fund it expects to launch in 2026.
The bank has already signaled that some capital will come from investors in the Middle East. The move reflects growing interest in digital assets among global financial institutions and underscores SC Ventures’ push to lead in fintech-driven finance models.
The fund will focus on investments in digital assets broadly, especially in opportunities tied to the financial services sector. SC Ventures, which was established in 2018, has been incubating disruptive technologies and business models. This new fund adds to its growing portfolio of initiatives aimed at combining financial services with emerging tech.
Drivers of the New Fund Strategy
Part of SC Ventures’ motivation appears to be demand from high-net-worth and institutional investors in the Middle East, who have increasingly sought exposure to digital asset markets. The fund’s global orientation suggests Standard Chartered sees opportunities not just in its traditional banking markets, but also in fintech hubs and emerging digital finance ecosystems.
Another driver is the competitive pressure in financial services to offer new digital solutions, including crypto, tokenisation, and blockchain-enabled services. With fintech and digital assets evolving fast, having a dedicated investment vehicle allows SC Ventures to scale selectively, invest in infrastructure or startups, and partner in building next-generation finance platforms.
Potential Implications for Standard Chartered and the Sector
For Standard Chartered, launching this fund could help it anchor itself more firmly in the digital asset and fintech space, giving it early exposure to technologies that may reshape banking, payments, and capital markets.
It may also open new revenue streams if the investments perform well and if regulatory risk is managed properly. However, such funds carry considerable risk: regulatory uncertainty, volatility in digital asset markets, and competition from both established finance firms and nimble startups.
Broadly in the financial services sector, SC Ventures’ plan may signal that banks in Asia, the Middle East, and beyond are more willing to commit capital to digital asset tools and platforms. It could encourage similar funds or strategic arms at other banks to follow suit, especially in regions where fintech and blockchain regulation is evolving to become more permissive.
CoreWeave Shares Jump After $6.3 Billion Nvidia Capacity Deal
CoreWeave’s stock surged after revealing a $6.3 billion Nvidia agreement guaranteeing purchases of unsold cloud capacity through 2032.
CoreWeave’s stock moved sharply higher after the company disclosed a $6.3 billion agreement with Nvidia that effectively guarantees a buyer for any unsold cloud-computing capacity through April 13, 2032.
The announcement provided a major boost to investor sentiment, sending CoreWeave shares up about 7 percent in early trading as the market reacted to the reduced risk profile of the AI infrastructure provider.
The deal extends a partnership first established in April 2023 and formalizes Nvidia’s role as both a supplier of GPUs and a backstop customer. By securing this long-term commitment, CoreWeave gains a stronger footing to expand its AI-focused data centers in the U.S. and Europe, which already host some of the most in-demand Nvidia hardware for training and running large AI models.
Why the CoreWeave Stock Is Rallying
Investors view the Nvidia agreement as a powerful signal of confidence and stability. In a capital-intensive industry where utilization rates can make or break profitability, having Nvidia agree to buy unused capacity reduces the downside risk.
This addresses long-standing concerns about CoreWeave’s reliance on a small number of big customers, such as Microsoft and OpenAI, and offers a clearer path to predictable revenue growth.
The stock’s reaction also reflects broader enthusiasm for companies tied to AI infrastructure. As demand for computing power accelerates, markets are rewarding providers that can demonstrate both scale and financial safety nets. CoreWeave’s announcement gives investors a narrative of growth supported by a world-leading chipmaker.
Implications for CoreWeave and the AI Cloud Sector
This arrangement strengthens CoreWeave’s ability to plan capital spending and scale operations while protecting against underutilization. The company may be able to accelerate its build-out of data centers, knowing that Nvidia’s purchase commitment cushions the risks if customer demand takes longer to materialize.
For the wider AI cloud sector, the deal illustrates how major chip makers are becoming demand stabilizers as well as suppliers. If similar agreements spread, they could reshape competitive dynamics by favoring infrastructure providers able to secure long-term commitments from technology giants. Investors will be watching whether CoreWeave’s stock can sustain its gains as the company executes on this expansion strategy.
Tesla Shares Surge After Musk Buys $1 Billion in Stock as Vote of Confidence
Elon Musk’s open-market purchase of around $1 billion in Tesla shares reignited investor faith, sending the stock into positive territory for the year.
Tesla shares climbed sharply after CEO Elon Musk disclosed he had purchased nearly $1 billion of Tesla stock. The open-market buy involved about 2.57 million shares at prices between roughly $372 and $396 per share. The stock closed Friday at $395.94.
The announcement helped lift Tesla’s stock above its 2024 closing price, putting it in positive territory for 2025. Investors read the move as a strong vote of confidence in the company’s future. Musk’s purchase marks his first open-market buying since 2020. It reinforces that despite headwinds Tesla’s leadership remains committed.
While the stock had declined earlier in the year amid growing competition and concerns over EV demand, this move sent a message to shareholders. Musk is doubling down on Tesla’s long-term strategy.
Why Musk Decided to Buy
Several factors appear to have encouraged Musk’s stock purchase. Tesla’s valuation targets and performance goals are especially ambitious.
A proposed compensation package for Musk could reach up to $1 trillion if the company meets milestones over the next decade. Those include big increases in production, expansion in AI and robotics, and a much higher market capitalization.
Investor concerns over Tesla’s recent stagnation also lifted once Musk himself put money on the line. Market participants saw the buy as a signal that Musk believes in the business despite a challenging macro climate.
The purchase triggered buying interest from both institutional and retail investors. It signaled that leadership and shareholders are aligned on Tesla’s future.
Implications for Tesla and Its Investors
This move may help restore confidence in Tesla at a time when its share price has underperformed relative to broader tech and EV sectors. Pulling into positive territory for the year is a psychological boost for many.
However, ambitious growth goals and lofty valuation targets still pose significant risk. To unlock the full proposed compensation package, Tesla must hit extremely aggressive performance and market cap benchmarks.
If the company fails to meet those goals, investor expectations could turn into disappointment. The billion-dollar buy creates high hopes but also higher stakes.
For now, Musk’s purchase has put Tesla back in the spotlight. Investors will monitor production numbers, AI and robotics progress, and how well Tesla meets its internal milestones.
Alphabet Becomes 4th Company to Reach $3 Trillion Market Cap After Antitrust Win
Alphabet’s valuation topped $3 trillion, making it the 4th company ever to hit that milestone after a favorable U.S. antitrust ruling eased investor fears.
Alphabet, the parent of Google, has become the 4th company in history to reach a market capitalisation of $3 trillion. The milestone follows a powerful stock rally sparked by a U.S. federal judge’s decision to reject a proposed breakup of key Alphabet businesses. Relief over the antitrust case, combined with strong fundamentals, helped propel the company’s shares to new highs.
The $3 trillion club is an exclusive one. Alphabet now joins Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia as the only publicly traded companies to have ever reached this valuation. That context underscores the scale of Alphabet’s operations and the investor confidence behind its long-term strategy in advertising, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence.
Key Factors Behind Alphabet’s Surge
The antitrust ruling removed a significant overhang for the company. The Department of Justice had sought remedies that could have forced Alphabet to divest its Chrome browser and Android operating system, moves that would have reshaped its ecosystem. By avoiding such structural changes, Alphabet preserved the continuity of its platforms, reassuring investors about future revenue streams.
In parallel, Alphabet has benefited from continued growth in search advertising, expansion of its Google Cloud business, and heavy investment in AI tools and infrastructure. These factors have supported earnings momentum and positioned the company to ride broader trends favoring technology giants with large data and computing resources.
Impact on Alphabet and the Tech Sector
Crossing $3 trillion cements Alphabet’s status as one of the world’s dominant technology companies. It signals that investors view its regulatory risks as manageable and its growth prospects as strong. Still, challenges remain, including ongoing global scrutiny of its business practices and intensifying competition in AI and cloud computing.
For the broader technology sector, Alphabet’s milestone may serve as both a benchmark and a catalyst. It highlights how investor enthusiasm for AI, scale, and diversified business models is rewarding the largest players, while also setting expectations for how other firms might navigate regulatory headwinds and capitalise on similar trends.
Oracle Forecasts Over $500 Billion in Cloud Booked Orders, Shares Soar
Oracle says its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) booked revenue could top half a trillion dollars, driven by rising demand for cost-efficient AI cloud tools — its stock climbed 27%.
Oracle has raised expectations for its cloud business, saying that booked revenue in its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) segment could exceed 500 billion dollars in remaining performance obligations (RPO). That forecast came alongside impressive financial results and sent the company’s shares rising sharply – up 27% after the bell following the announcement.
In the first fiscal quarter ended August 31, Oracle reported RPO for OCI jumped 359% year-over-year to 455 billion dollars. CEO Safra Catz noted that in coming months Oracle expects to finalize deals pushing that number past the half-trillion mark.
The company also projected that OCI revenue would grow 77% this fiscal year to about 18 billion dollars, with projected growth continuing over the next four years toward 144 billion dollars in OCI revenue.
Drivers of Oracle’s Cloud Expansion
Oracle is positioning itself strongly in the cloud market by offering integrated, flexible deployment models and emphasizing cost efficiency, especially for AI workloads. Enterprises looking to deploy large-scale AI tools are increasingly sensitive to cost, and Oracle is leaning into that demand.
The company has struck major deals with Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft to run parts of their cloud workloads on OCI. Revenue from these partners grew by 1,529 percent in the most recent quarter. It is also expanding its infrastructure footprint: Oracle plans to deliver 37 new data centers with its hyperscaler partners, bringing the total in that partnership to 71.
Broader Impact on Oracle and the Cloud Industry
Oracle’s aggressive growth suggests it sees cloud infrastructure not just as a supporting business but as a core competitive battlefield, especially with AI applications demanding both scale and cost efficiency. If Oracle can maintain or accelerate these numbers, it could shift more enterprise and hyperscaler workloads toward OCI.
For investors, the strong RPO growth and ambitious forecast point to continued revenue expansion, though Oracle still trails larger cloud players in absolute scale. There are risks: supply chain constraints, rising costs of building and powering data centers, and competition from Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud, and emerging players could pressure margins.
In the broader cloud market, Oracle’s success in winning multi-billion-dollar contracts and emphasizing AI-ready infrastructure may push more companies to evaluate cloud providers not just on features, but on cost and ease of integration.