A Polymarket account known as “pony-pony” has disappeared after earning more than $80,000 by accurately predicting release timelines for major products from OpenAI. The trader consistently placed small, low-profile bets on launch dates, raising suspicions of insider-level knowledge.
The account correctly anticipated the timing of GPT-5, betting that it would not launch by early August but would arrive shortly afterward. Similar precision was shown on forecasts tied to OpenAI’s browser product and GPT-5.2, with every position settling profitably.
Crypto commentators speculate the trader may have been linked to OpenAI or had access to internal schedules. Observers also believe multiple wallets may have been used to avoid detection before the account vanished entirely.
